About Editor-in-Chief Tobin Smith & Transformity Investing Newsletter
About Tobin Smith
Although he may be best known for his 14 years on Fox News Network & Fox Business Network as a market analyst and anchor, Tobin Smith the investment newsletter publisher and editor has created, published and edited some of the most successful investment newsletters of all-time. Starting with the record breaking launch of Garzarelli Report from famed market timer Elaine Garzarelli in 1995 to founding ChangeWave Research (one of the first subject matter expert networks), Tobin's investment newsletters and books have provided hundreds of thousands of investors:
1) An early and accurate analysis of "next big things" that transformed industries and technology and created thousands of new millionaires
2) Historic market top/ bottom calls in 2000, 2003 and 2009 and deadly accurate macroeconomic recession and expansion forecasts that made and saved his subscribers $billions
3) Legendary stock picking including Sirius Satellite Radio in 2002, Amazon in 2003, Apple in 2005, Pioneer Energy in 2006, Gilead Sciences in 2013, Nvidia, Amazon, Netflix AMD & Micron (MU) in 2015
4) Life changing buy & sell recommendations with 40.8% average annual returns 2000-2010 and 50.1% annual returns 2013-2017
He is the author of New York Times Bestsellers "ChangeWave Investing," "ChangeWave Investing 2.0 and "Billion Dollar Green: Profit from the Eco Revolution.
The late great Steve Jobs once said when asked about which research firm had gotten Apple right most often, he said
"Without a doubt Tobin Smith's ChangeWave Research...they were the first major research firm to get the iPod and really understand the iPhone."
About Transformity Research: It took me 5 years of stealth testing and real life trading for just 500 subscribers…but I have taking my award winning and groundbreaking investment newsletter ChangeWave Investing principles and almost doubled/2X our annual returns with my news and improved Transformity Investing 7X Accelerated Wealth Building System.
How? I combined our focus on the amazing wealth creation & destruction power of secular transformational change and combined it with a London School of Economics proven macroeconomic forecasting index that has delivered 28% annualized stock market returns since 1986 (using 2X leveraged QQQ and S&P 500 index ETFs) in bull and bear markets.
Our bull and bear market protocols are simple yet extremenly powerful:
1) when our Transformity Macro-Market index says the US economy is expanding, we are long the sectors and stocks whose revenue and earnings that benefit most from the power of transformational change (and we occasionally short the main victims of secular transformational change too like our LONG Netflix short Blockbuster trade and Long Amazon Short Toys R Us trades too!
2) When our TI Macro Market index of 45 leading and real-time economic index readings warns us of “recession ahead 4-6 months” i.e., the U.S. economy is headed to economic contraction we SELL our stocks/ETFs and use some of that cash to earn high returns (via short selling ETFs) in the coming recession led bear market.
3) When our Macro Market index shows a recession bottom and return to economic expansion, we close our short investments and buy the most damaged cyclical sectors (transportation, technology, retail, industrials, materials and energy) and then shift to the new leaders of the strongest secular (i.e., non-cyclical self-powered) growth sectors.
Our results? Since June 2013 our stealth subscribers have made life changing wealth and 300%-500%+ gains in Apple, Nvidia, AMD, Micron (MU) and 100%+ gains in transformational stocks like AAOI, Impinj (PI), Mobileye (MBLY), Universal Display (OLED), Applied Materials (AMAT) and even Newtek Business Services (NEWT).
Our 55.3% annualized returns since we launched Transformity Investing in June 2013 outperform the S&P 500 returns by 7-to-1 or 600% and high priced hedge funds by 25-to-1 or 2500% in the same time period. Based on the Hulbert Newsletter Report on leading investment newsletter returns, our real money model portfolio results makes Transformity Investing the #1 performing investment newsletter in America since 2013.
With a no questions asked 100% Money Back Guarantee, all the risk in on US to keep on delivering our record results.
Join us TODAY and let's make more investment history together!
If at ANYTIME you are not satisfied with your subscription, let us know and you will receive a FULL refund of your subscription payment NO QUESTIONS asked.
TESTIMONIALS FROM SUBSCRIBERS (E-mails all on file)
“I can truly say that my subscription to Transformity Investing has turned my investment portfolio from a six figure to $1 million fortune and I’m just 40! My kid’s college funds are full, my corporate pension plan is over funded—and its ALL with Transformity Investing stocks, options and ETFs. We first made a killing in energy stocks and MLPs in the great run that called in early 2013 and that we got OUT of in October 2014—what a call on oil!
But my major profits came from being in Apple all the way until we sold at $120…and in the long term call options we cashed in 2016 up 300-400%. Then you call on Nvidia/Micron and AMD in the middle of the January 2016 correction allowed me to scoop up the stocks and long term options—OMG.
I’m up over 250-350% on ALL those positions in 18 months…I’ve made close to $250,000 on those positions alone…and $20k in a week on our latest AMD long term call option.
I really appreciate being able to text you directly when I have questions…NO other famous newsletter editor I know gives that kind of service.
Honest to God…your name around our house is Saint Toby!
PS: I just made $22,000 in 2 DAYS on your Cloudera call….!!!”
“Tobin thanks. Of all the stocks that he recommended I have the vast majority of my account and it’s up 250% since I started with Transformity Investing. But your call on Nvidia (and second purchase in the January 2016 correction) REALLY has changed my financial life. I’m retired but thanks to you I feel safe and financially secure for the first time in my life.
I really like how you identify the BIG transformations in the global economy and find us the stocks that take most advantage of them. I can tell you this: ALL it takes is one monster stock to make the entire year or two—and you have brought me 10 stocks and investments with 100-300% gains since I have been a subscriber.
I literally can’t wait to open my email and see a new recommendation or newsletter edition!”
“Hello Tobin. You may not recall meeting, but a few days ago we shared an elevator at Shutters in Santa Monica. I recognized you instantly. (How can one not recognize the man who recommended buying Apple back when it was less than $12 a share split-adjusted? Thankfully I held on to 10X profits). Not surprisingly, the elevator we shared was heading up... the same direction as many of your reccos in your terrific newsletter.
When I saw you I had just dropped my oldest off for last year at UCLA…100% paid for by my ChangeWave Investing stocks!!!! I wanted to reach out and get more information on your new venture. You mentioned something about starting it up again, and I can tell you I'm super psyched at the prospect of being first in line.
Please keep me in the loop. I can't wait to get my portfolio back on solid footing. When I was reading your newsletter, things were great. After you left, well, let's say it reminded me of this awesome Nike commercial with Tiger Woods. Not sure you ever saw this, but it doesn't take a genius to recognize who Tiger is in the world of investing. Check it out. And let me know more as you can.
I wish you great success in all you do. And thank you in advance for what's to come.
All the best!
Just wanted to thank you for another great year. Your advice has had a huge impact on my life. Back in the ChangeWave days my NEOM profits bought me my ranch and CHTL helped buy my new Extreme 4x4 Motorhome.
Your early calls on Nvidia, Micron and OLED were awesome. Your call on Mobileye being bought out by Intel 14 months ahead of Intel buying them was sorta spooky.
Today I am your neighbor in Arizona…but thanks to you I fly into Scottsdale in my helicopter!
Harriette Rose Katz
Toby when i look at my portfolio, I realize what an enormous impact you have had on my life.....and for that i thank you from the bottom of my heart. I did buy more Micron when it was down the other day and I am sooo excited by the future.
Discovered CREE thanks to you and appreciate the 117% return. I’m up over 250% on Nvidia, AMD and Micro when you pounded the table for them in 2016. I’ve just signed up for your lifetime subscription deal…keep up the good work!
“Tobe, great call on TEP…just sold my original investment and am letting the profit ride- well over $50,000 profit in less than 120 days…keep these type of stocks coming!”
PS: I am terrible at selling so thanks for the push…”
“Well we have our oldest Kate done at UT Austin and I can truly say we paid the $200,000 in tuition and expenses with our investment in Apple stock first in your ChangeWave Investor service and then next in Transformity Investing.
I really like the strategy of using long term options purchased with profits from original investment to “roll your profits at 90% less risk.”
We have been fans for years…and your buy and hold advice has changed our financial lives forever. Our youngest enters UT this year…I am going to use profits from Nvida, Micron, AMD, OLED, AMAT and LRCX to pay for HIS school too…and then for MY retirement!
God bless you brother…you are a life changer!”
“I have followed you since your days at Fox News and have been a fan of your show ‘Bulls and Bears’ since the beginning. I took advantage of your market calls in 2000, 2003 but most importantly 2008—and literally saved millions of dollars.
I subscribed to Transformity Investing for your bull and bear market forecasts…but the stock calls have been stellar. I wish I had bought more Nvidia and Micron but I did load up on AMD around $4.45 and that position alone if up over $200,000 for my IRA.
My accountant just subscribed…he has watched my IRA grow and finally asked me ‘Ben…are you a stock guru?’ I told him I was not but I knew one! Thanks again!”
“Long time subscriber. Just wanted to tell you what a difference your stock buying and selling advice has made to me and my wife Jen since we first subscribed to ChangeWave Investor and now Transformity Investing. With your guidance we’ve grown our low six figure investment accounts to over $2 million in value since 2006—and largely avoided the 50%+ crash in 2008-2009 thanks to your masterful market call in Dec 2007 to “go to cash and buy TBT bond ETF and short the market with SQQQs.
We started buying your new post-crash stocks in 2009 and our portfolio is up 5X more than the overall market. Today I have almost all your recommendations in my portfolio and I’m up 55% in 2017 and was up over 120% in 2016—again 5-10X more than the overall market.
Feel free to use this e-mail as an endorsement…you’ve earned it!”
“Toby…just a note of thanks for all that you have done for our family. 3 kids through private college thanks to our investments you recommended. We are retiring to the second home we bought in Florida thanks again to the profits we earned in Transformity Investing. Keep ‘em coming—I need a big fancy motor home too!”
"Tobin I wanted to tell you how much more CONFIDENT I am with my individual stock picking as a Transformity Investor subscriber! For instance when we first bought Micron under $9 in 2015 your advice was "The NANA/DRAM memory business has finally transformed from a circular firing squad of boom & bust to a well managed industry that now has 30-50% growth ahead with only 3 major suppliers. Do NOT SELL Micron until we go through this next massive cycle--$50-$75 and $100 valuations are VERY realistic IF YOU HOLD ON during the normal market corrections."
Well I DID buy Micron and and HAVE held on during some scary corrections with your constant guidance. YOUR research and team gave me the confidence to hold it and my $50,000 original investment is now over $250,000. And I've not even mentioned Nvidia or the 400%+ profit I made when we hedged Micron into Q1 earnings and made more profit from the correction. God Bless you and your team--you have made an old man richer than he ever imagined?"
Tobin Smith’s GREATEST Market/Macroeconomic stock picking Calls on CNBC, Fox News and Fox Business Network 2000-2017
1) May 2000 “Tech spending has fallen off a cliff…the Internet bubble has burst…SELL tech stocks immediately and buy bonds” Fox NewsYour World with Neil Cavuto
2) June 2000 “Tech spending has fallen off cliff…the Internet bubble has burst…SELL tech stocks immediately and buy bonds” CNBC Squawk Box
3) December 2000…”US Economy headed for recession on mass pullback in tech spending and burst tech bubble—continue to sell stocks and buy US Treasury bonds!” Fox News Bulls and BearsDec 10
4) Dec 30 2000 “Fed will CUT rates 1%+ between meetings when they see how much US economy has slowed—sell stocks and buy US Treasury bonds!” Fox NewsYour World with Neil Cavuto 2001 Forecast Show Special. Fox showed this clip for DAYS after Greenspan “surprise” 1% rate cut Jan 5 2001 . . .my 15 minutes of fame!
5) March 2003 “US recession has troughed—new business cycle expansion has started…BUY STOCKS NOW especially the most beaten down tech stocks.” Fox NewsBulls and Bears Saturday March 3 episode
6) April 2004 “Natural gas prices headed way up as new gas fired power plants have doubled and natural gas supply is lower (pre-fracking days).” Buy Southwestern Energy (ran up 600% in next 4 years) Fox NewsBulls and Bears Saturday episode
7) June 2005 “Our ChangeWave surveys say the Apple iPod is going to be huge and change music…BUY Apple !!!” (pre-split equivalent $6 now $162 or 3200% gain). Fox News Bulls and Bears episode
8) February 2007 “Sub-prime mortgage bankruptcies just starting (New Century BK filing) . . . get out of ALL homebuilders and Freddie Mac/Fannie Mae and Countrywide Credit…the caca is hitting the fan”. Fox News Your World with Neil Cavuto
9) November 2007 “Market top is in…lighten stocks and be on recession watch.” Fox News Bulls and Bears episode
10) June 2008 “Bear Stearns saved by Fed…but that is the LAST mortgage securitizer to be saved.” After the Bell Fox Business News with Liz Claman
11) September 2008 “STILL STAY away from stocks . . .we just avoided a bank run with Treasury action (bail out) and the business cycle is blown up . . deep recession ahead After the Bell Fox Business News with Liz Claman
12) Dec 31 2008 And my BEST call . . .with David Asman on FBN’s “America’s Nightly Scoreboard” Year End show 2009 Predictions segment “The selling is not over but will capitulate around March which will be a real bottom…around 666 on the S&P 500 is our target to re-enter stocks.” Sure as heck the market bottomed March 6 at 666 . . . pure luck but I will take it!
13) March 2009 “The market bottom is in! Buy Apple, Google and Amazon with both hands—the will be worth 10X MORE by 2020…they are unstoppable monopolies” Fox News Bulls & Bears
14) April 2010 “The ACA changes the economics of big health plan providers like United Healthcare, Centene, Molina Healthcare—buy them all” (they are up in value on average 250% from that call). Fox News Bulls & Bears
15) July 2011 “Elon Musk is the new Steve Jobs and his Tesla EV is the future. By the stock here around $25 a NEVER EVER sell it!!! America’s Nightly Scoreboard Fox Business Network
16) October 2012 “Buy the Netflix crash under $15…as their model goes to 100% streaming service and new programming takes off…they become ultra-growth machine around the world!” Fox News Bulls & Bears
17) May 2013 “Oil is headed over $100 a barrel as new demand from China is overwhelming production. BUY the new kings of oil—the shale frackers. Continental Resources, Pioneer Resources and Parsley Oil.” Fox News Bulls & Bears
18) Sept 2013 “The explosion in shale fracking is using thousands of tons of sand a day. Buy Emerge Energy Services LP <$25 (EMES) Transformity Investing
October 2014 “SELL all our energy stocks—Saudi Arabia has declared war on the U.S. shale energy players.” Transformity Investing
November 2015 “The age of Artificial Intelligence is here and it’s powered by Nvidia (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and the new 3D memory chips by Micron (MUC). Buy them all…buy them now!” Transformity Investing
January 2016 “The age of Artificial Intelligence is STILL here and it’s STILL powered by Nvidia (NVDA), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and the new 3D. . . buy this correction and double down on ALL these stocks!” Transformity Investing
March 2016 “The digital device tech world is transforming TO OLED screens and away from LED. Let’s buy OLED the technology leader and Applied Materials the OLED manufacturing leader.” Transformity Investing
April 2016 “The auto & truck world is transforming autonomous driving technology. Let’s buy Mobileye (MBLY) as the pure play technology leader and wait for their partner Intel to buy them out >$60.” January 2017—“Double down on MobilEye under $35.” Transformity Investing
MobilEye bought by Intel in August 2017 for $63.87.
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Note: The material presented in this commentary is provided for informational purposes only and is based upon information that is considered to be reliable. However, neither NBT Group, Inc. , d/b/a Transformity Research (TW) nor its affiliates warrant its completeness, accuracy or adequacy and it should not be relied upon as such. Neither TW nor its affiliates are responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of this information. Past performance, including the tracking of virtual trades and portfolios for educational purposes, is not necessarily indicative of future results. Neither Tobin Smith, Transformity Investor, or anyone related to TW is a registered financial adviser and they may hold positions in the stocks mentioned, which may change at any time without notice. Do not buy or sell based on anything that is written here, the risk of loss in trading is great.
This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument. Securities or other financial instruments mentioned in this material are not suitable for all investors. Any opinions expressed herein are given in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are only intended at the moment of their issue as conditions quickly change. The information contained herein does not constitute advice on the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situations or needs and is not intended as a recommendation to you of any particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. Before investing, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice.