In 8 Trading Days, The Entire Global World Order Transformed--Here's The Plan Going Forward
Hi Subscriber,
Our Putin Powell and Inflation Protection Portfolio is CRUSING the SP 500 down 15%
Just checking to see that your heads have stopped spinning! I've got a big noggin and I can tell you I have serious whiplash--have you ever experienced such massive transformational change in 5 days?
To say the least, we have almost completely thrown out our entire 2013-2021 Ultra Growth Stock gameplan simply because the greatest secular (i.e. not cyclical) macro and microeconomic transformations we have primarily invested in 2013 -2021 (and made STUPID amounts of profits--like up 800%+ in that time frame) have been replaced by an even LARGER and more powerful macro and micro and geopolitical transformation on a global scale.
There will be some amazing secular growth technology plays to add for sure--there are very GARPY stocks (secular growth at a reasonable price) that are the proverbial "babies thrown out with the bathwater" that will be very profitable for us to own.
But it is not very often that we humans experience a massive transformation in the global order and TWO global supply shocks in 26 months! The last major shift in the global order was of course World War II started in September 1939 with Hitler's invasion of Poland and Czechoslovakia and later Pearl Harbor.
The last major transformation of the world's geopolitical order was obviously the fall of the Iron Curtain and the end of the Cold War on Dec 31, 1991.
Unfortunately, from our Transformity Experts Network, I have to report that things in Ukraine are almost guaranteed to get much worse as the atrocities and war crimes come to light in the Western World. All I hear (via Signal encrypted messages) is "Putin has to either slaughter his way to Kyiv or admit his judgment was wrong--highly unlikely. That means "victory" in Ukraine will be indistinguishable from victory."
It breaks my heart to type those words.
Key Point: There can't be a new "cold war" because the Russia of today can't afford it--especially now. It's not the "USSR"--economically its GDP is not even the size of Spain--and they take on the entire NATO Alliance and threaten nuclear war with 150X higher GDP and unlimited financial resources.
The good news within all the horrible news is this: The one-man Kleptocracy business model is reaching its natural end just like African nations in the 1970s. Putinism is slowly being destroyed because it grew to depend on the assumption that after the geopolitical debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan, the United States was too weak to stand up to the Putin Doctrine ("My destiny from God is to rebuild 19th Century Russia) and that the most powerful country in Europe i.e., Germany was still a pacifist nation that could not live without Russian energy pouring into their natural gas storage and BMW's.
He also assumed that POTUS Trump's threats to pull out of NATO, quit paying the lion's share of costs and his disparagement of the NATO Alliance had our European allies saying to themselves "You're on your own America--Putin is your problem, not ours."
Not so.
I just got a Signal text from a very well-placed source that says "The Oligarchs think Putin has lost his capacity to think straight--that his belief that God created him to rebuild the old Russian Empire--and because of that they have $50 million bounty on whoever takes him out."
When that would happen? No idea--right now it is just wishful thinking.
But here, in addition to our amazing returns from our Ultra Income portfolio (now up 32% so far in 2022!!) is what we are going to be investing in with our Ultra Growth Portfolio until Putin aka Hitler 2.0 is out of power aka dead or dethroned.
1) We are investing in EVERY top producer of energy and resource commodity and mineral and fertilizer that Russia exports to Europe including uranium. This saga is most likely to last far longer than anyone thinks--and Russian natural resources, ships, and tankers are now toxic. The world is now intently and actively "Derussianizing" their natural resource dependence on Russia. This process will take years.
As one of my contacts texted "Toby Europe fucked up and now they know it. It was insane to trust Russia under Putin to outsource a high percentage of their energy needs and at the same time shut down nuclear power, nat gas fracking, and the largest European natural gas resource in the Netherlands. If China did not have the Winter Olympics, Russia would have started this invasion in early January in the dead of winter. All the renewable energy around the world will not get Europe out of this catastrophe."
The marginal provider of oil, natural gas, and NGLs to the world is the United States. We will opportunistically buy the leaders of the ENTIRE energy E&P ecosystem that produce from America's Permian Basin where the most energy is and its the cheapest to extract. From fracking sand to fracking services to transportation.
BTW-- according to my sources, this "DeRussianIzing" process will last until Putin says "Uncle" due to the economic depression in Russia that is already here--the 80% stock market crash, the coming food lines and 20% joblessness then hopelessness and mass demonstrations, and riots--or regime change.
How long? Too soon to make an intelligent well-informed guess. But IF Ukraine ultimately breaks and a Putinism puppet government is set up, this entire tragedy I am told could last for a year or more. The West is suffocating Russia as fast as we can--but they have a stunning amount of staying power.
2) Bulk shipping and oil tankers and LNG. Here is what I posted for All-Access members yesterday. "Yesterday at 4:51 PM we doubled down again on $SBLK $GOGL $KIM. After talking with bulk shipping agents via Signal off the record...they say the latest is we could see shipping rates UP 2X 3X with ALL Russian exports and ships toxic and being boycotted or not allowed to dock."
On Monday, WSJ reported that the "UK banned all Russian ships from entering its ports. Meanwhile, shipping executives and port officials in Belgium, Holland, and Germany have said cargo ships that are destined for Russia will be stopped and inspected. The conflict has caused many vessels to reroute, exacerbating congestion at other ports in Europe as Ukraine's largest port shutdown on Thursday.
Over 200 ships are waiting to cross the Kerch Strait as of Monday, according to data from Lloyd's List. The channel connects the Black Sea to the Sea of Azov. "All those hubs in Northern Europe are already pretty congested, and every little thing that delays cargo flows will intensify the problem," Vincent Clerc, head of ocean and logistics services at Maersk told The Wall Street Journal. On Tuesday, one of the world's biggest shipping companies, Maersk, announced that it would temporarily suspend shipments to and from Russia and Ukraine. The shipping company joined ONE, MSC, and Hapag-Lloyd in the decision — a move that will impact at least 47% of global container shipping."
3) Europe's Re-militarization. Perhaps the most amazing transformation happening in real-time is Germany's re-militarizing. Germany's military is a joke, their defense systems ancient and they now know the cost of pacifism with a NaziEsque dictator. Virtually ALL the tens of $billions they will spend rebuilding their military power will be spent with the United States military-industrial complex.
And of course, this global geopolitical and economic transformation has many other legs.
Potus Biden and the Western World declared financial and energy war against Russia last night.
BTW--the $RSX puts on the Russian stock market we advised you to buy last week are now up 3600% and yet the index STILL SELLS at 78% premium to underlying shares. $1k in those puts turned into $36,000
We went long Uranium with $URA call options last week too and sold a BUNCH of put options on our energy positions for what turned out to be 10X our money.
IF YOU HAVE ever thought about joining us is the All-Access Trading Room--NOW IS THE TIME. The daily whipsaw action in the market right now is the PERFECT time to generate massive profits with options trades.
We are just about to add TEXT notification...working out the system now.
Join us tomorrow and I guarantee you will earn 10X the annual fee in the next 90 days or your money back...this kind of trading environment comes around every 5-10 years.
Click here and scroll down to the bottom of the subscription page and don't miss out on historic profits!
PS- We have a short option position on Snowflake $SNOW that looks when we close it out at the open tomorrow should turn $500 in $9500 in a day. We have long options of major coal producer $BTU up 550% and some members selling the put options too that will expire worthlessly--this is a LOT of fun!
The New Investment Premise
The Growth INVESTING premise from here on out is:
1) The Western modern world has now irreversibly united against and declared economic and energy production war against Putinism
2) The Western World hs already destroyed the Russian banks who are now insolvent without Kremlin supports
3) The most patriotic people I know in the US--ENERGY PATCH PEOPLE--will be asked to once again become the marginal provider of oil and nat gas and NGLs by the POTUS and the industry will have a summit VERY soon to figure out logistics--this is WAR
4) EVERY PART of the energy drilling value chain is already in scarcity--from fracking equipment to SAND to water removal and cleaning to DRILLING CREWS and RIGS to COMPRESSORS and pipeline capacity...We will have stocks all along the value chain
5) Permian based drilling (the lowest cost highest profit) will HAVE TO GROW 50% or more to offset Russian oil embargoes and the Federal Government is going to say to the big players ( CRL Pioneer Chevron Diamondback etc) "We will guarantee you unlimited loans and minimum prices to drill more sites
6) All other fracking regions in the US and now economic too
7) Canada will ramp too...and Brazil $PBR for sure
8) Exxon Chevron BP Shell ALL pulling out of Russia deals...the thesis is $100+ oil and $6 gas in 2022 is the new $60 oil $3 gas--and it will take a herculean effort to ramp production.
9) Same with $coal $BTU and others will have to increase exports 40% to fill the gap
10) SOLAR WIND HYDROGEN energy are now strategic in the Energy & Economic war against Russia and Belarus
I'll end with this:
Marci Shore, author of "The Ukrainian Night: An Intimate History of Revolution
“This is Putin's war, and it is grotesque. I listened to Putin's majestic Crimea speech eight years ago. And I listened to Putin's speech last Monday presaging his intention to invade Ukraine. This is no longer the master chess player, the shrewd grand strategist. He is no longer a rational actor, even in the coldest and most cynical sense.
He seemed unwell and unhinged: "We're ready to show you what real decommunization means for Ukraine. . ." This no longer felt like a man playing a high-stakes chess game, now it felt like a scene from "Macbeth." My intuition was that an aging man facing his own death had decided to destroy the whole world. Ukraine is very possibly fighting for all of us.”
Let's all say a prayer for Ukraine--and invest in ALL the ways we can help ruin the Russian Blitzkrieg as fast as possible!
Toby